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FXUS62 KTAE 230744
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
344 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2019

.NEAR TERM [Through Today]...

Deep layer high pressure will be situated across the southeast US
and off the eastern seaboard. This will keep the dry forecast going
today with plenty of subsidence aloft. Upstream towards the
southern Plains, low pressure will be taking shape with some high
cloudiness spilling over our area. Again, no precipitation is
expected despite the slight increase in high clouds. High
temperatures will warm into the mid to upper 80s.


.SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Thursday]...

Deep layer ridging will nudge eastward through mid-week. Meanwhile,
a strong upper-level PV anomaly over the desert SW will dig into the
southern Plains Thursday. The short term period will remain dry and
warm. Highs will be in the low-mid 80s and lows will be in the mid
50s to around 60.


.LONG TERM [Thursday Night Through Tuesday]...

Things will become more interesting as the strong PV anomaly swings
from the southern Plains across the northern Gulf coast Friday, then
lifting into the east coast Friday night-Saturday. Thunderstorms
will begin to move into the tri-state area Thursday night, then
continue through the region Friday, possibly lingering into Friday
evening over our eastern zones. Instability should be on the lower
end (MLCAPE 

NWS TAE Office Area Forecast Discussion